Weekly Economic Indicators - 02 October 2026

02 October 2026 Highlights of the Week Real Sector

Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI, 2021=100) based headline inflation remained unchanged at 8.0 per cent in September 2026 compared to August 2026. Food and Non-Food inflation recorded 8.7 per cent and 7.7 per cent, respectively. Meanwhile, the CCPI based core inflation increased to 5.4 per cent in September 2026 from 5.1 per cent in August 2026.

In August 2026, Purchasing Managers' Index for Construction Industry, as reflected by the Total Activity Index, expanded on a month-on-month basis.

The Unemployment rate increased to 4.0 per cent in Q2 2026 from 3.8 per cent recorded in Q2 2025.

The Labour Force Participation Rate increased to 50.0 per cent in Q2 2026 from 49.3 per cent recorded in Q2 2025.

Monetary Sector

Weekly Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR) for the week ending 02 October 2026 increased by 10 bps to 11.04 per cent c ompared to the previous week.

The Average Weighted Call Money Rate (AWCMR) increased to 8.99 per cent on 02 October 2026 compared to 8.96 per cent at the end of last week.

The reserve money increased compared to the previous week, mainly due to the increase in deposits held by the commercial bank s with the Central Bank.

The total outstanding market liquidity was a surplus of Rs. 360.11 bn by 02 October 2026, compared to a surplus of Rs. 370.92 bn by the end of last week.

By 02 October 2026, the All-Share Price Index (ASPI) decreased by 1.07 per cent to 20,812.64 points and the S&P SL 20 Index decreased by 0.96 per cent to 5,883.50 points, compared to the index values of last week.

Fiscal Sector

During the eight months ending August 2026, government revenue and grants increased by 21.2 per cent to Rs. 4,002.3 bn compared to Rs. 3,301.5 bn in the corresponding period of 2025.

Total expenditure and net lending increased by 6.9 per cent to Rs. 3,966.9 bn during the eight months ending August 2026 compared to Rs. 3,712.5 bn in the corresponding period of 2025.

During the eight months ending August 2026, overall budget balance recorded a surplus of Rs. 35.4 bn compared to a deficit of Rs. 411.0 bn recorded in the corresponding period of 2025.

Outstanding central government debt stood at Rs. 31,278.43 bn at end of June 2026. Accordingly, total outstanding domestic debt amounted to Rs. 18,804.64 bn while the rupee value of total outstanding foreign debt amounted to Rs. 12,473.79 bn.

During the week, Treasury Bill yields remained broadly stable in both primary and secondary markets, while Treasury Bond yields also remained broadly stable in the secondary market.

The rupee value of T-Bills and T-Bonds held by foreign investors increased by approximately 1 per cent in the reporting week compared to the previous week.

In the reporting week, the auction for T-Bills experienced an oversubscription rate of approximately 2.5 times.

The total volume of secondary market transactions in T-Bills and T-Bonds increased by approximately 7.7 per cent in the reporting week compared to the week before.

External Sector

Year to date depreciation of Sri Lanka rupee against the US dollar was 6.2 per cent as of 02 October 2026.

The net absorption based on value date by the CBSL from the domestic foreign exchange market amounted to US dollars 64 mn in September 2026.

The gross official reserves were provisionally estimated at US dollars 6,929 mn as at end August 2026. This includes proceeds from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) swap arrangement.

The merchandise trade deficit widened to US dollars 7,180 mn during the eight months ending in August 2026, compared to US dollars 4,264 mn recorded in the corresponding period of 2025.

Export earnings increased by 3.3 per cent (year-on-year) to US dollars 9,377 mn, while import expenditure increased by 24.1 per cent (year-on-year) to US dollars 16,557 mn during the eight months ending in August 2026, compared to the corresponding period of 2025.

The terms of trade deteriorated by 4.1 per cent (year-on-year) to 77.3 index points in August 2026, as the increase in import prices exceeded the increase in the export prices.

REALSECTOR 1.1 Price Indices

NCPI(2021=100) NCPI-Year-on-Year%

CCPI(2021=100)

Source:Departmentof Censusand Statistics

1.2 Prices 1.2.1 Pettah Market

Average Wholesale Prices Average Retail Prices Item (Rs./kg)

1.2.2 Marandagahamula Market

Average Wholesale Priceof Rice Item (Rs./kg)

n.a.-notavailable

1.2.3 Dambulla Market Narahenpita Economic Centre-Retail Prices

Average Wholesale Prices

Item (Rs./kg) Beans

Week Ago This Week 2026 2025

Red Onion (Imported)

Rice-Nadu (White)

1.2.4 Narahenpita Economic Centre

/.

s220 Average Retail Prices R Item (Rs./kg)

Week Ago This Week 200

Nadu (White) 230.00 230.00

Kekulu (Red) 190.00 190.00

Beans 636.00 772.00

Cabbage 360.00 408.00

Fish-Kelawalla

Carrot 376.00 384.00 3,500

Tomato 504.00 588.00 3,000

Pumpkin 232.00 284.00 /.2,500

Snakegourd 416.00 460.00

Brinjal 504.00 552.00 2026 2025

Green Chilli 600.00 640.00

Red Onion (Local) 690.00 700.00

Big Onion (Imported) n.a. n.a.

Potato (Local) 548.00 560.00

Coconut

Potato (Imported) 232.00 200.00 2026 2025

Dried Chilli (Imported) 1,240.00 1,240.00

Red Dhal 280.00 280.00 h210

Sugar White 250.00 250.00 E180

/.

Egg White (Each) 36.00 36.00 R150

Coconut (Each) 200.00 200.00 120

1.2.5 Fish Markets

Peliyagoda Negombo Narahenpita

n.a.-notavailable

1.3GDPby Industrial Originat Constant (2015) Prices-Growth Rates

Annual Quarterly

Item (b) RealGDPGrowth

2024 2025 2025Q2 2026Q2

(b) Provisional

Source:Departmentof Censusand Statistics

1.4 Agricultural Production

Tea Production July %

Item 28

Rubber (mnkg) 5.9 5.9 0.0

mn

May-June 16

Coconut (mnnuts) 555401..90 493.0

Sources:Sri Lanka Tea Board

(a) Provisional Rubber Development Department Coconut Development Authority (b)2025datarevisedbasedonhistoricaldatafromthe Coconut Research Institute (CRI).

Coconut Research Institute

1.5 Indexof Industrial Production (IIP)(2015=100)(a)

July %

(a) Major7subdivisions

(b) Revised

(c) Provisional

1.6 Purchasing Managers'Index (PMI)

70 PMIManufacturing x 60

PMIServices x

nI

nI

(a) Aspertheinternationalbestpractices,headlinePMIsfor Servicesand Constructionare Services -Manufacturing,itisaweightedaverageoffivesub-indices.Further,Manufacturing Production Index,Services Business Activity Indexand Construction Total Activity Indexarethecomparable figuresofPMI.

1.7 Employment

(b) Unemployment Rate

(c) R4.5

Employed Personsby Sectors (asa%of Total Employment)

2025 — 2025Q2 2026Q2

1.8 Wage Rate Indices

Informal Private Sector Employees' e

Wage Rate Index (2018=100)-Nominal I Informal Private Sector (2018=100)

1.9 Average Crude Oil Prices

WTI WTI 120

Price)

January b

/

February 75.12 71.37 76.32 69.16 64.33 66.67 $

March 71.41 67.88 83.33 99.74 91.72 66.48

April 66.96 63.54 83.47 102.73 97.55 73.19

May 63.96 60.86 75.75 104.92 99.51 136.66

June 70.13 68.14 70.79 85.74 82.81 117.14

July 69.29 66.94 66.70 83.48 78.28 104.02 Sep21 Dec22 Mar24 Jun25 Sep26

August 67.47 64.23 66.84 87.94 82.35 87.92

67.63 63.69 73.51 101.84 95.40 Crude Oil Prices-Daily

September

October 64.25 60.33 72.86 130

WTI

November 63.69 59.51 72.59

l110 · Brent

December 61.81 58.02 68.40

/

Annual Avg. 68.25 64.90 7733..2829 $90

Date 2025 2026

25-Sep 69.05 64.70 105.84 93.15

26-Sep 69.67 65.31 - -

28-Sep - - 106.96 94.03

29-Sep 69.60 65.14 106.75 93.66

30-Sep 67.65 63.20 103.48 89.54

Sources:Bloomberg,Ceylon Petroleum Corporation

01-Oct 66.17 62.50 98.11 90.34

02-Oct 65.66 62.10 102.65 93.02

1.10 Daily Electricity Generation

Electricity Generationby Source

Hydro

Wh G30

Thermal Coal (GWh) 11.08 14.09 15.86 16.54

Thermal Oil (GWh) 4.59 4.40 3.30 5.29

Wind (GWh) 2.07 2.13 1.96 0.62

Solar (GWh) 12.85 12.67 12.82 11.41

Biomass (GWh) 0.38 0.39 0.48 0.40 uJ uJ

(a) Thehouseholdpopulationaged15andabove

(b) Averageoffourquarters Source::National System Operator (Pvt) Ltd

(c) Basedonthe International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC)-Revision4 (d)CPCimportpricesarenotdirectlycomparablewithfuturespricesofWTIand Brent,asCPC'simportpricesincludefreight/premiumchargesandthepriceisweightedforaverage

(e) Provisional

MONETARYSECTOR 2.1 Interest Rates (% p.a.)

OPRandAWCMR

Policy Interest Rate Year Ago Week Ago This Week

n8.75

Call Money Market e r8.50

Average Weighted Call Money Rate P8.25

(AWCMR)(Endofthe Week) 8.00

(b) — 7.75

Treasury Bill Yields (Primary Market)

Dateof Maturity

Treasury Bond Auction

(a) Witheffectfrom27 November2024,theOPRisdefinedasthepolicyinterestrateofthe Central Bank.SDFRandSLFRarelinkedtotheOPRwithamarginof±50basispoints.

(b) Ratesaresourcedfromthe Public Debt Management Office (PDMO)

(c) Theminimumsavingsdepositratefrom Januaryto July2026hasbeenrevisedfollowingthecorrectionoferroneousreportingbysome Licensed Commercial Banks (LCBs).

(d) Thebankhasnotgrantedloansduringthisweektoprimecustomers,hencethelatestavailableratehasbeenprovided.

2.2 Money Supply

Rs.bn Annual Change (%)

10 p

Ma Ma

2.3 Reserve Moneyand Currencyin Circulation

Reserve Money Currencyin Circulation

. — 1,600

s1,600 b R .

s1,400

2.4 Money Market Activity (Overnight)

Call Money Market 28-Sep-2026 29-Sep-2026 30-Sep-2026 01-Oct-2026 02-Oct-2026

AWCMR 8.95 8.96 8.98 8.98 8.99

Gross Volume (Rs.bn) 15.06 25.54 62.68 54.03 23.72

Repo Market 28-Sep-2026 29-Sep-2026 30-Sep-2026 01-Oct-2026 02-Oct-2026

2.5CBSLSecurities Portfolio

(a) Thecompositionofmonetaryaggregateswasrevisedfor Januaryto July2026followingthecorrectionofmisclassifiedentriesreportedbyseveralLCBs,whilethebroadmoney

(b) InrelationtoM2b

2.6 Open Market

Item 28.09.2026 29.09.2026 30.09.2026 01.10.2026 02.10.2026

Short-Term Auction

Repo Amount Offered (Rs. bn) 60.00 40.00 50.00 40.00 60.00 40.00 70.00 30.00 80.00 50.00

Tenure (No. of Days)

Bids Received (Rs. bn) 38.50 20.00 38.00 - 69.75 35.00 73.00 - 48.00 22.00

Amount Accepted (Rs. bn) 38.50 20.00 38.00 - 60.00 35.00 70.00 - 48.00 22.00

Minimum Accepted Rate ( % p.a.) 8.74 8.75 8.74 - 8.73 8.75 8.72 - 8.72 8.75

Outright Auctions

Long Term Auction

Repo Amount Offered (Rs. bn) - 20.00 20.00 30.00 20.00

Settlement Date - 30.09.2026 01.10.2026 02.10.2026 05.10.2026

Maturity Date - 30.10.2026 30.10.2026 02.11.2026 05.11.2026

Tenure (No. of Days) · -

Bids Received (Rs. bn) - - 41.00 31.00 21.00

Amount Accepted (Rs. bn) - - 20.00 30.00 20.00

Minimum Accepted Rate ( % p.a.) - - 9.13 9.12 9.14

Maximum Accepted Rate ( % p.a.) - - 9.15 9.12 9.14

Weighted Average Yield Rate (% p.a.) - - 9.14 9.12 9.14

Liquidity Support Facility Auction

Standing Facility

Standing Deposit Facility (Rs. bn) 92.62 113.35 78.26 80.13 105.11

Standing Lending Facility (Rs. bn) 0.00 0.00 14.60 0.00 0.00

Total Overnight Market Liquidity (Rs. bn) 151.12 151.35 158.66 150.13 175.11

(a) 384.12 389.35 338.66 355.13 360.11

Total Outstanding Market Liquidity (Rs. bn)

(a) Total Outstanding Market Liquidity represents overnight liquidity adjusted for outstanding amounts of term repo/reverse repo transactions of the Central Bank with market participants.

2.7 Credit Cardsand Commercial Paper Issues 2.7.1 Credit Cards

2.7.2 Commercial Paper Issues (d) (b)

December2025 June2026 July2026

(e)(f)

(a) Issuedby Licensed Commercial Banks (LCBs)

(b) Provisional (c) Thepublicationofthebreakdownofoutstandingcreditcardbalanceswasdiscontinuedfrom21 August2026 (d) BasedontheinformationprovidedbyLCBsand Licensed Specialised Banks (LSBs)

(e) Year-to-datetotal

(f) Totalcumulative Commercial Paperissuancesincluderolloverissuances

Commercial Papers Issues (Cumulative) 2026 Outstanding Balanceof Credit Cards 2026

b b185

s3 s

2.8 Share Market

Share Market Indices-Daily

All Share Price Index (1985=100)(ASPI)

S&PSri Lanka20 Index (2004=1,000)(S&PSL20) — 6,000

I — 2

S20,000

5,000

f &

o18,000 S

4,000

n16,000 e

nI

Source:Colombo Stock Exchange

FISCALSECTOR 3.1 Government Finance (Rs.Bn)

2025 2026 Government Fiscal Operations

Item (a)

Central Government Debt

(b) End Mar.2026-End Jun.2026

3.2 Outstanding Central Government Debt (Rs.Bn)

29,994.69 31,278.43 Sources:Ministryof Finance,Planningand Economic Development

Total Outstanding Central Government Debt

Central Bankof Sri Lanka Note:Withtheestablishmentofthe Public Debt Management Office (PDMO)underthe Ministryof Finance,Planningand Economic Development (MOF),theresponsibilityforrecordingandpublishing Sri Lanka’spublicdebt nowfallsunderthePDMO,asmandatedbytheprovisionsofthe Public Debt Management Act,No.33of2024.Accordingly,the Quarterly Statistical Debt Bulletin,publishedbythePDMO,willserveastheofficialsourcefor debtstatistics.The Central Bankcompilesandpresents Outstanding Central Government Debttable (Table No.3.2)basedondatareceivedfromtheMOFtoensuredatacontinuity,followingthe Government Finance Statistics

3.3 Government Securities-Primaryand Secondary Market Yield Ratesforthe Week Ending-01 October2026

3.3.1 Treasury Billsand Treasury Bonds Primary Market (g)% Secondary Market (h)%

This Week · Last Week

Security Maturity Last Week This Week

Source:Public Debt Management Office,Ministryof Finance,Planningand Economic Development

ei ei

Y — Y10.8

(b) Aspertheguidelinesofcompilinggovernmentdebtstatisticsinthe Manualof Government Finance StatisticspublishedbytheIMFin2014,residentholdingsofoutstandingISBsof

the Sri Lankan Governmenthavebeenclassifiedunderdomesticdebt.Further,debtstatisticsarepresentedonnetbasis (netofdeposits)

(c) TheoutstandingcentralgovernmentdebtexcludesseveraldebtservicepaymentsthatbecameoverdueaŌer12 April2022,thedateofwhichthe Interim Policyregardingthe servicingof Sri Lanka’sexternalpublicdebtwasannouncedbythe Ministryof Finance,Planningand Economic Development.Thesedebtservicepaymentscompriseofcertain overdueinterestpaymentsofaffecteddebtwhichdeemedtobecapitalizedasperthe Interim Policy.

(d) Includesoutstandingbalanceofthegovernmentguaranteedforeigncurrencydebtofthe Ceylon Petroleum Corporationthatwasabsorbedintocentralgovernmentdebt.

(e) From December2022onwards,severaloutstandingprojectloanswhichwerepreviouslyclassifiedunder Ceylon Electricity Board,Airportand Aviation Services Ltd.and Sri Lanka Ports (f) Foreignloandebtstatisticsarepreparedbasedonthedatasourcedfromthe Commonwealth Secretariat Debt Recordingand Management System (CS-DRMS)maintainedbythe Ministryof Finance,Planningand Economic Development.

(g) Primarymarkettransactionsduringtheweekending01 October2026 (h) Averageofthesecondarymarketquotes 3.3.2 International Sovereign Bonds Maturity Secondary Market

Security Description

International

Sovereign

3.4 Government Securities-Weekly Summaryof Primaryand Secondary Market

Transactionsforthe Week Ending-01 October2026

Volumein Rs.Mn Item Last Week This Week

Outstanding Stockof Government Securities

(b) Volumein Rs.Mn

Primary Market Activities Last Week This Week Treasury Bills

PhaseI,Pricebased Competitive Bidding Auction

Treasury Bonds

PhasesI,IIandIII

Volumein Rs.Mn

Secondary Market Activities Last Week This Week

Treasury Bills

T.reasury Bonds

Sources:Public Debt Management Office,Ministryof Finance,Planningand Economic Development

Bloomberg (b) LimitedtoT-BillandT-Bondissuancesunderregularissuanceprocess.

3.5 Two Way Quotes (Treasury Bills) - 02 October 2026

Buying & Selling

3.6 Two Way Quotes (Treasury Bonds) - 02 October 2026

Maturity Date Buying & Selling

3.7 Treasury Bonds issued pursuant to the Domestic Debt Optimisation & External Debt Restructuring Programme

Maturity Date Buying & Selling

Source: Public Debt Management Office, Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development

EXTERNALSECTOR 4.1 Exchange Rate

02-Oct-26 Average Rate GBP

Daily Exchange Rates

USD

(USDmn) September August September

Purchases 187.8 579.0 85.0

Sales - - 20.8

Item Year Ago Week Ago 02-Oct-26

Average Daily Interbank Volume (USDmn) 89.57 47.16 66.43

Forward Transactions

Forward Rates (RsperUSD)

4.2 Tourism &Workers'Remittances

(f) (f)

(f) (f)

(g) (g)

0'

s — 700

a Dmn v200 S

i — 600

2025

f 500

o — 2026

N — 400

(a) Commercial Bank Average Middle Rate (prevailingat9.30a.m.)

(b) Central Bankmiddleexchangerate Sources:Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority (SLTDA)

(c) Totalmonthlypurchasesandsalesofforeignexchangebythe Central Bankfromcommercialbanksatmarketrates. Central Bankof Sri Lanka (d) The Central Bankforeignexchangeinterventiondataarebasedonvaluedate.

(e) Weeklyaveragebasedonactualtransactions.

(f) Provisional (g) The Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authorityhasrevisedthemethodologyofcompilingmonthlyearningsfromtourismestimatesin May2026toenhancetheaccuracyandrepresentativenessofsuchestimates (h) Workers'remiƩancesmayincludeotherremiƩances,suchasthosereceivedfollowing Cyclone Ditwah.

4.3 International Reserves&Foreign Currency Liquidityasatend August2026 (USDMn)

Official Reserve Assets — 6,929

Foreign Currency Reserves — 6,714

(a) Securities — 3,558

(b) Totalcurrencyanddepositswith — 3,156

(i)othernationalcentralbanks,BISandIMF — 1,926

(ii)banksheadquarteredinsidethereportingcountryofwhichlocatedabroad 1

(iii)banksheadquarteredoutsidethereportingcountry — 1,229

ReservepositionintheIMF — 4

SDRs — 1

Gold — 210

Other Reserve Assets — 0

Predetermined Short-Term Net Drainson Foreign Currency Assets (USDmn)

Maturitybreakdown (residualmaturity)

Morethan1 Morethan3

Item Total Upto1

andupto3 monthsandup

month

months to1year

inflows (+) Principal

inflows (+) Interest

currenciesvis-à-visthedomesticcurrency (includingtheforwardlegof (3,575)

currencyswaps)

inflowsrelatedtoreverserepos (+)

ouƞlowsrelatedtorepos (–)

otheraccountspayable (–) (2) (2)

(a) Provisional

(b) ThisincludesproceedsfromthePBOCswaparrangement,whichissubjecttoconditionalitiesonusability.

(c) Thismainlyincludesthepredeterminedouƞlows.

(d) ThesenetdrainsincludetheouƞlowsrelatedtotherestructuringtermsagreedwiththeISBholdersin December2024.

(e) AmajorshareofSWAPoutstandingwillberolledover.

4.4 External Trade

Jan-Aug (USDmn) Jan-Aug (Rs.mn)

(b) 2025 22002256(b) 2026

4.5 Trade Indices (2010=100)

Exports Trade Indices

Imports Termsof Trade (2010=100)

e110 ul

Dmn1,000 a100

U1,500 e

800 — d80

nI

4.6 Commodity Prices USD LKR

Tea Prices (Auction) Rice Prices (Imported) Crude Oil (Imported)

(a) Valuesinsometableshavebeenroundedofftothenearestfinaldigit.

(b) Provisional (c) InUSDTerms